The harsh reality for most in North America is that the groundhog is almost always wrong when he predicts an early spring, as he did on groundhog day this year. The continent’s prevailing (north)westerlies mean that the air tends to stream in from Canada. And in most of Canada there is no spring to speak of. Off of most of the Eastern Seaboard the ocean water is nearing its coldest point of the season. It is now 38F (3C) at the Boston harbor buoy. That temperature will likely go down between now and the middle of March as the most persistent Arctic air intrusion is underway. This increases the chances of snowfall when lows ride up the coast.
Fluffy, `cold’ snow (less dense and water-laden) fell overnight, with a little more expected this weekend and much more next week. It’s as dormant outside as at any time this winter, with the only reminder that warmer times lie ahead being the increasing sunlight hours and the chatter of sparrows.
DTN weather provided this map depicting what the next 10 days will be like. Notice where the lobe of polar air is mainly focused on, the Northern Plains where they’ve already recorded the second coldest February on record. For this part of the country March may be a repeat of February. Of course it’s no surprise that it’s warm in Southern Florida and Mexico.